12 Election Takeaways
How high was turnout, lawyers will be busy, girl power, streetcar wins again and a new council president?
We have now lived through the most unusual election in Wisconsin history, if we are to believe it’s over. A number of lawsuits could call that into question.
The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in the biggest by-mail absentee vote count in state history (over one million ballots), but thousands of voters never received their ballots.
Things got more complicated by Governor Tony Evers ordering in-person voting suspended, the Wisconsin Supreme Court ordering it back on and the US Supreme Court revising absentee ballot due dates set by a lower court. And that happened in just a single afternoon.
Further compounding the problems, the City of Milwaukee only had enough staff to open five polling places, down from 180, with wait times of over two hours at one site.
“This is voter suppression at its worst,” said national Democratic Party chair Tom Perez Monday morning. And while I won’t attempt to assess the validity of that claim in my election takeaways below, suffice it to say this election was not what democracy should look like.
Let’s dissect what we actually know.
1. Tom Barrett Remains a Popular Pol
Since first being elected mayor in 2004 in a close election (54-46), Tom Barrett has been very popular with voters.
He landed 79 percent of the vote in 2008, 70 percent in 2012, 70 percent in 2016 and 63 in 2020. State Sen. Lena Taylor came closer than those before her, but it’s hard to unseat an incumbent mayor in Milwaukee.
There is another number, however, that will likely keep him from appearing on the ballot again in 2024 – 70. That’s how old he will be at the end of this coming term.
Barrett is the longest-serving mayor of a big city in America, but he’ll have to run for re-election again if he wants to tie Henry Maier as the longest-serving mayor in Milwaukee history.
2. Lawyers Will Get Plenty of Work
There is already one lawsuit filed as a result of the election, a catch-all class-action suit filed Monday that touches on virtually every issue that prevented voters for casting ballots.
But more suits are likely to come with thousands of candidates on the ballot across the state. Taylor conceded her race to Barrett, but promised a lawsuit in her concession speech. “We will be following with a suit to deal with the disenfranchisement of people,” said Taylor. Her previous suit to delay the election was dismissed.
Senator Chris Larson, who according to unofficial results is 0.54 percent behind Representative David Crowley for a four-year term as Milwaukee County Executive, isn’t conceding. “We are weighing all options in this,” said Larson as the final votes were being counted.
Crowley was up by approximately 1,000 votes when the Milwaukee County Election Commission reported 480 out of 480 wards reporting. Then the commission confirmed approximately 17,000 ballots needed to be loaded in-person from Wauwatosa and Franklin because of issues with modems on their voting machines. But after those ballots were counted, Crowley was still 1,000 votes ahead.
If the results stand, and Crowley survives any possible recount, he would be the first African-American elected county executive in Milwaukee.
Even if the county race doesn’t end up court, other lawsuit angles remain. The Milwaukee Election Commission and other municipalities voted to accept ballots without postmarks. Ballots were received by voters after election day. Other ballots never arrived at all.
3. How Strong Was Turnout?
Initial data suggested Milwaukee turnout was going to be far lower than expected. How did that end up? A little bit better than expected.
In total, 95,166 Milwaukeeans cast ballots in the April 7th Spring Election. That beat the city’s 2019 total of 68,770, which featured a state supreme court race and not much else. It also bested even lower totals from 2018 and 2017.
Milwaukee Election Commission Executive Director Neil Albrecht estimated earlier this month that approximately 140,000 Milwaukeeans could vote in this year’s spring election. But the total ended up nowhere close to that.
It did end up more in line with the 2008 spring election where 86,641 ballots were cast. Interesting data point: Lena Taylor ran in that race, too, getting 44,952 votes for Milwaukee County Executive.
Overall, fewer votes were cast in Milwaukee (95,166) than absentee ballots requested (96,712), which should raise alarm about the effectiveness of switching to an all absentee election. A total of 18,803 people voted in person.
Statewide over 1.55 million voters cast a ballot. The total was ahead of the 2019 total (1.2 million) but far below 2016 (2.1 million). Both of those totals are dwarfed by the approximately three million ballots cast in each of the past two Presidential elections.
4. From COVID-19 to City Attorney
The biggest upset of the night was undoubtedly Tearman Spencer upsetting 36-year-incumbent Grant Langley for city attorney. Spencer, who was bed-ridden with COVID-19 for much of the final weeks of the campaign, had a surprise showing in the primary and carried that momentum into the general election.
He’ll be the first African American to hold the office, and the first person to redecorate it in my entire lifetime. He’s going to have plenty of work to do. He’s trading his solo law practice in the Colby Abbot Building for one with 38 attorneys at City Hall.
5. Sawa Edges Out Fields
While there is going to be a new city comptroller in Milwaukee, don’t expect a radical departure from the last. Deputy Comptroller Aycha Sawa won a race to replace her retiring boss Martin Matson. She defeated State Representative Jason Fields by 50.4 percent to 49.18 percent.
The comptroller, in effect the city’s chief financial officer, exercises financial control over virtually every aspect of city government including public debt and employee pay. The comptroller also provides audit services and financial analysis of every proposed tax-incremental financing district.
6. No Council Upsets, but the Council Will Be Upset
The 13 members of the Milwaukee Common Council running for re-election all won. But the power balance of the Common Council could shift. Ashanti Hamilton replaced Michael Murphy as president in 2016 by allying with Robert Donovan, Mark Borkowski and Tony Zielinski. But neither Zielinski nor Donovan ran for re-election
There is also one more dynamic that could change the body’s operation…
7. Girl Power
The 15-member Common Council will now include five women, the highest total in its history. Dimitrijevic and Zamarripa join Nikiya Dodd, Milele A. Coggs and Chantia Lewis. The previous record was four in 2000.
8. Justin Bielinski Just Misses Again
Community organizer Justin Bielinski put a lot of work into his aldermanic campaign against Donovan in 2016, but ultimately came up short by 161 votes. Donovan, who was simultaneously running for mayor and alderman, no doubt benefited from the advertising on his mayoral campaign.
But with Donovan retiring and Bielinski already waiting in the wings to run, he was a shoo-in, right? Not quite. Bielinski lost by 92 votes to State Representative Zamarripa. A total of 166 people cast ballots in the district, but didn’t vote in that specific race.
One strange takeaway from the race: how low voter turnout is in the 8th District. In 2016 the district voted 2,260 to 2,099 for Donovan. In 2020 it went 1,104 to 1,012 for Zamarripa. Even if you combine the 2020 total for both candidates, you still don’t get a sum as large as the winner’s total in any of the city’s contested council races.
9. People Like Milwaukee Public Schools
It’s pretty easy to strike up a conversation with a Milwaukee Public Schools teacher and get them to be critical of the district. But you’ll quickly find that the typical teacher also cares deeply about their students.
Voters apparently feel the same way. A referendum to provide MPS with an additional $87 million annually with very few strings attached passed on a 78-22 margin. There was no organized opposition to the effort and groups like the Greater Milwaukee Association of REALTORS even endorsed the proposal.
10. Don’t Run Against the Streetcar
Free campaign advice for Milwaukee candidates: don’t make opposition to the streetcar a central point of your campaign.
Since The Hop was first proposed in 2011 not a single pro-streetcar politician has lost to one opposed to the system. That trend continued in the latest election.
Barrett beat Taylor, who framed the issue as proof the mayor allegedly cared only about rich downtown residents.
Dimitrijevic, who has spoken in favor of expanding the system, beat Jason Auerbach for an open seat once held by Zielinski, who vocally opposed the streetcar after voting for it in 2011. Zielinski made opposition to it a central point of his mayoral campaign and ultimately came in third in February. Auerbach has been critical of The Hop’s creation.
11. Did Bernie Sanders Help Elect Karofsky?
But the illusion of a race could have benefitted liberal Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate Jill Karofsky. Despite being all but eliminated, Sanders still pulled in 32 percent of the vote in Wisconsin.
Without a Democratic Presidential primary does Karofsky get 855,981 votes (55 percent)? Hard to say.
She did win swing counties like Winnebago and Kenosha that last went to conservative Justice Brian Hagedorn.
But she didn’t receive the vote of every Democratic voter. All of the Democratic Presidential candidates received 923,759 votes. Conservative incumbent Justice Daniel Kelly (692,523) pulled in more votes than President Donald Trump (616,705), but Trump was running unopposed for the Republican nomination.
It is safe to say that Sanders’ timing of suspending his campaign right after the election, instead of right before, certainly didn’t suppress turnout.
12. Court’s 5-2 Majority Becomes 4-3
Karofsky won a 10-year-term on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, adding another liberal vote to the seven-member court and switching the conservative majority from 5-2 to 4-3. Karofsky defeated Kelly, who was appointed by Governor Scott Walker to fill out the term of retired Justice David Prosser.
And with that one-vote majority, you’re going to want to mark your calendars for April 2023. Chief Justice Patience Roggensack, a conservative, is up for re-election.
Expect both the Democratic and Republican parties to spend heavily in a race that is increasingly partisan despite its non-partisan label.
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More about the 2020 Spring Primary
- Did April Election Hike COVID-19 Cases? - Alana Watson - May 20th, 2020
- Elections Commission Notes ‘Lessons Learned’ - Henry Redman - May 19th, 2020
- Wisconsin Elections News: WEC Releases Analysis of Absentee Voting in April 7 Spring Election - Wisconsin Elections Commission - May 18th, 2020
- Election’s Impact on County’s COVID-19 Cases Unclear - Jeramey Jannene - May 6th, 2020
- Why State’s Voting By Mail Was Chaotic - Daniel C. Vock - May 4th, 2020
- At Least 40 COVID-19 Cases Tied to Election in Milwaukee - Graham Kilmer - Apr 24th, 2020
- Data Wonk: Did Republicans Doom Dan Kelly? - Bruce Thompson - Apr 22nd, 2020
- City Hall: 7 COVID-19 Cases From In-Person Voting? - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 22nd, 2020
- Murphy’s Law: Republicans Suppress Their Own Voters - Bruce Murphy - Apr 21st, 2020
- Wisconsin’s Missing Absentee Ballots - Henry Redman - Apr 20th, 2020
- Op Ed: Weaponizing the Pandemic - State Rep. Jonathan Brostoff - Apr 18th, 2020
- Data Wonk: Why Was Election in Pandemic Required? - Bruce Thompson - Apr 15th, 2020
- Democratic Turnout Surged in Election - Shawn Johnson - Apr 15th, 2020
- Larson Concedes to Crowley in Tight Race - Danielle Kaeding - Apr 14th, 2020
- 12 Election Takeaways - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 14th, 2020
- Biden Wins Big Over Sanders - Rich Kremer - Apr 14th, 2020
- Karofsky Easily Defeats Kelly - Shawn Johnson - Apr 14th, 2020
- Wisconsin Working Families Party Candidates Win Key Seats Across The State - Wisconsin Working Families Party - Apr 14th, 2020
- Murphy’s Law: 21 Winners and Losers - Bruce Murphy - Apr 14th, 2020
- Chris Larson Statement on Updated Election Results - State Sen. Chris Larson - Apr 13th, 2020
- Rep. David Crowley declares victory in County Executive race - County Executive David Crowley - Apr 13th, 2020
- Some 6,000 City Ballots Lost in Mail - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 13th, 2020
- Federal Lawsuit Challenges April Election - Corri Hess - Apr 13th, 2020
- City Accepts Ballots Without Clear Postmarks - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 13th, 2020
- “Voter Suppression At Its Worst,” DNC Chair Tom Perez Says - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 13th, 2020
- The State of Politics: Many Heroes Amid Election Chaos - Steven Walters - Apr 13th, 2020
- Why Many Absentee Ballots Lack Postmarks - Ruth Conniff - Apr 13th, 2020
- Letter to Attorney Generals - State Sen. Lena Taylor - Apr 12th, 2020
- Milwaukee Election Commission “Zoom Bombed” - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 12th, 2020
- Thousands of Absentee Ballots Might Not Count - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 10th, 2020
- Jill Karofsky statement on Tuesday’s election - Jill Karofsky - Apr 10th, 2020
- Health Officials Will Track Election Day COVID-19 Spread - Miranda Suarez - Apr 10th, 2020
- Inside Milwaukee’s Vote Counting Operation - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 10th, 2020
- Did High Court Ignore Their Rules on Election Case? - Erik Gunn - Apr 9th, 2020
- Johnson, Baldwin Urge U.S. Postal Service IG to Launch Absentee Ballot Investigation - U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson - Apr 9th, 2020
- Gov. Evers Delivers Weekly Democratic Radio Address on Public Health after the April 7 Spring Election - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 9th, 2020
- Rep. Hintz: Statement on Missing Ballots for Oshkosh and Appleton - State Rep. Gordon Hintz - Apr 8th, 2020
- City Calls for USPS Investigation Into Missing Ballots - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 8th, 2020
- One Million In State Voted By Mail - Laurel White - Apr 8th, 2020
- Senator Feyen Statement on Undelivered Absentee Ballots in Oshkosh - State Sen. Dan Feyen - Apr 8th, 2020
- Some Wore Masks, Some Didn’t - Edgar Mendez - Apr 8th, 2020
- Back in the News: Vos Ridiculed Across the Nation - Bruce Murphy - Apr 8th, 2020
- Milwaukee’s Voter Turnout Is Way Down - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 7th, 2020
- Op Ed: The Republican Death Cult - James Rowen - Apr 7th, 2020
- Why Does Madison Have More Voting Sites Than Milwaukee? - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 7th, 2020
- After Recovering from COVID-19, Rep. Bowen Worked to Assist Voters with Coronavirus - State Rep. David Bowen - Apr 7th, 2020
- No Election Results Until April 13th - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 7th, 2020
- Photo Gallery: Long Lines at Milwaukee’s Polling Places - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 7th, 2020
- Detente Ends for Evers, Legislature - Melanie Conklin - Apr 7th, 2020
- Gov. Evers’ Message to Wisconsinites on Election Day - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 7th, 2020
- Wisconsin leaders fail to ensure safe election during COVID-19 - WISPIRG Foundation - Apr 7th, 2020
- Pandemic Decimates Urban Polling Places - Henry Redman - Apr 7th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: Learn More About The Candidates On Your Ballot - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 7th, 2020
- Where Are the Missing Ballots? - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 6th, 2020
- Statement from Milwaukee County Executive Chris Abele and Milwaukee County Clerk George Christenson on U.S. Supreme Court Ruling - County Executive Chris Abele - Apr 6th, 2020
- Gov. Evers Statement on Supreme Court of Wisconsin Ruling Allowing In-Person Voting Tomorrow - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 6th, 2020
- Absentee Ballots Must Be Mailed Back By April 7th - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 6th, 2020
- Statement: Legislative Leaders React to Favorable Decision by U.S. Supreme Court - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Apr 6th, 2020
- Statement: Wisconsin Supreme Court Ruling on April 7 Election - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Apr 6th, 2020
- Supreme Court Reinstates Election, Overrules Evers - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 6th, 2020
- Milwaukee County Officials Order All Municipal Polling Places Closed - County Executive Chris Abele - Apr 6th, 2020
- Murphy’s Law: Republican Hypocrisy on Election - Bruce Murphy - Apr 6th, 2020
- Representative Lisa Subeck Stands with Governor Evers on Suspending In-Person Voting - State Rep. Lisa Subeck - Apr 6th, 2020
- Governor Evers Suspends In-Person Voting Until June - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 6th, 2020
- Statement: Executive Order by Governor Evers - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Apr 6th, 2020
- Gov. Evers Suspends In-Person Voting, Calls Legislature into Special Session on April 7 Election - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 6th, 2020
- Top 10 Things Voters Should Know Before Heading to the Polls on April 7 - Wisconsin Elections Commission - Apr 6th, 2020
- Holding Election Angers Municipal Officials - Laurel White - Apr 6th, 2020
- County Clerk Christenson Coordinates National Guard Deployment For Spring Primary General Election - George Christenson - Apr 5th, 2020
- Op Ed: Holding the Election Could Kill People - Tom Nelson - Apr 5th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Milwaukee County Board of Supervisors Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 5th, 2020
- Wisconsin GOP Leaders Make No Election Changes in Special Session - Rob Mentzer - Apr 4th, 2020
- Gov. Evers’ Statement on Special Session - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 4th, 2020
- WisGOP Statement Upon Filing Appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court - Republican Party of Wisconsin - Apr 4th, 2020
- Appeals Court Upholds Absentee Ballot Extension - Ruth Conniff - Apr 4th, 2020
- Mayoral Candidate Sues To Delay Election - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 4th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Common Council Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 4th, 2020
- Legislative Leaders Release Statement on 7th Circuit Court of Appeals Ruling - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Photo Gallery: Drive-Up Voting - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Op Ed: Should Elected Officials Work the Polls? - Gregory Humphrey - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Milwaukee Will Have Only Five In-Person Voting Sites - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Sending Milwaukee to the polls has never been this frightening - Ald. Milele Coggs - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Milwaukee County Executive Chris Abele Applauds Evers’ Call to Stop In-person Voting - County Executive Chris Abele - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Governor Evers Calls Special Legislative Session To Delay Election - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Statement of Marlene Ott, President of the Wisconsin Alliance for Retired Americans - Wisconsin Alliance for Retired Americans - Apr 3rd, 2020
- Gov. Evers’ Statement on Judge Conley’s Order Regarding Upcoming April 7 Election - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 2nd, 2020
- Absentee Ballot Deadlines Extended, Election Not Delayed by Federal Judge - Jeramey Jannene - Apr 2nd, 2020
- Fitzgerald Reacts to Evers Statement on April 7th Election - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Apr 1st, 2020
- Press Release: Gov. Evers’ Statement on Upcoming April 7 Election - Gov. Tony Evers - Apr 1st, 2020
- Vote Absentee, Local Officials Plead - Graham Kilmer - Apr 1st, 2020
- Murphy’s Law: Republicans Risk Public Health With Election - Bruce Murphy - Apr 1st, 2020
- Sanders Statement on Wisconsin Primary - Bernie Sanders - Apr 1st, 2020
- Absentee Ballot Requests for April 7 Exceed 1 million - Wisconsin Elections Commission - Apr 1st, 2020
- City Forecasts Election Results Two Days Late - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 31st, 2020
- Supreme Court Upholds Photo ID Requirement for Absentee Voters - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Mar 31st, 2020
- Will No One Have the Courage and Good Sense to Postpone the Spring General Election? - Ald. Bob Donovan - Mar 31st, 2020
- Vote Absentee: City Treasurer Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 31st, 2020
- Vote Absentee: City Attorney Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 31st, 2020
- Evers, Republicans Spar on Holding Election - Erik Gunn - Mar 30th, 2020
- Milwaukee Election Worker Staffing Drops As Cases Rise - City of Milwaukee Election Commission - Mar 29th, 2020
- Supreme Decision - Bill Lueders - Mar 29th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Comptroller Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 29th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Mayoral Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 29th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Milwaukee County Executive - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 29th, 2020
- Federal Judge Won’t Delay Spring Election - Laurel White - Mar 28th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Milwaukee County Circuit Court – Branch 29 - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 28th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Milwaukee County Circuit Court – Branch 5 - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 28th, 2020
- Vote Absentee: Wisconsin Supreme Court Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 28th, 2020
- Milwaukee Establishes Drive-Up Early Voting - City of Milwaukee Election Commission - Mar 27th, 2020
- Governor Calls for Mail-In Election - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 27th, 2020
- County Clerk Christenson and All 19 Municipal Clerks in Milwaukee County Ask State Leadership for April 7th Spring General Election Changes - George Christenson - Mar 27th, 2020
- Fitzgerald Rejects Evers’ Idea as Fantasy - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Mar 27th, 2020
- Rep. Hintz Statement on Election Access and Safety - State Rep. Gordon Hintz - Mar 27th, 2020
- Statement: County Clerks’ Clear Violation of the Law - Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald - Mar 27th, 2020
- City Will Accept Absentee Ballots, Serve as Required Witness at Five Sites - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 26th, 2020
- Murphy’s Law: Will Legislature Delay Election? - Bruce Murphy - Mar 25th, 2020
- Online Voter Registration for April 7 Available Again Until March 30 - Wisconsin Elections Commission - Mar 25th, 2020
- 23 Advisory Votes on Gerrymandering - Matt Rothschild - Mar 25th, 2020
- Absentee Ballot Requests for April 7 Exceed 550,000 - Wisconsin Elections Commission - Mar 24th, 2020
- Barrett Calls for Mail-In Only Election, Delay - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 24th, 2020
- Wisconsin Needs Poll Workers! - Wisconsin Elections Commission - Mar 23rd, 2020
- Milwaukee Cancels Early Voting - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 22nd, 2020
- Milwaukee Closing Early Voting Sites - City of Milwaukee Election Commission - Mar 22nd, 2020
- Online Voter Registration Reinstated by Federal Judge - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 21st, 2020
- Governor Evers Doesn’t Want Election Rescheduled - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 20th, 2020
- Voters Wanting Absentee Ballot Must be Registered by March 18th - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 18th, 2020
- Please Vote Absentee In Spring Election - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 16th, 2020
- Want $130? City Needs Poll Workers - Jeramey Jannene - Mar 15th, 2020
- Wisconsin Elections Commission Responds to Coronavirus COVID-19, Urges Absentee Voting - Wisconsin Elections Commission - Mar 13th, 2020
- 9 Election Takeaways - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 19th, 2020
- Election Results: 2020 Spring Primary - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 18th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: County Board Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 17th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: Common Council Races - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 17th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: County Executive Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 17th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: Circuit Court Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 17th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: State Supreme Court Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 17th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: Comptroller Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 15th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: City Attorney Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 15th, 2020
- Vote Tuesday: Mayoral Candidates - Jeramey Jannene - Feb 14th, 2020